The object returned by nowcast_eval. It is an S7 class with
the following slots (accessible with @):
Details
- detail
data.frame with per-prediction errors (observed, predicted, last reported values).
- summary
data.frame with aggregated SMAPE and winrate, by group and delay.
- params
list of parameters used.
- n_past
number of past periods evaluated.
- time_start
POSIXct start time.
- time_end
POSIXct end time.
Examples
input <- generate_test_data()
eval_res <- nowcast_eval(
df = input,
col_date_occurrence = date_occurrence,
col_date_reporting = date_report,
col_value = value,
n_past = 10,
time_units = "days"
)
#> Warning: n_past (10) exceeds available reporting periods (8). Will be using the max available instead: 7
# Access slots
eval_res@summary
#> # A tibble: 10 × 9
#> delay n_periods n_obs smape_diff_med smape_diff_q1 smape_diff_q3 winrate
#> <dbl> <int> <int> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
#> 1 0 7 7 0.266 0.243 0.298 1
#> 2 1 7 7 0.0883 0.0780 0.100 1
#> 3 2 7 7 0.0321 0.0284 0.0372 1
#> 4 3 7 7 0.0126 0.0107 0.0144 1
#> 5 4 7 7 0.00512 0.00421 0.00575 1
#> 6 5 7 7 0.00207 0.00183 0.00237 1
#> 7 6 7 7 0.000997 0.000873 0.00104 1
#> 8 7 7 7 0.000225 0.000139 0.000280 1
#> 9 8 7 7 -0.0000624 -0.000178 -0.000000725 0.286
#> 10 9 7 7 -0.000198 -0.000334 -0.000127 0
#> # ℹ 2 more variables: winrate_low <dbl>, winrate_high <dbl>
eval_res@detail
#> # A tibble: 70 × 11
#> cut_date date_occurrence last_r_date value value_predicted value_true delay
#> <date> <date> <date> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
#> 1 2025-02-02 2025-01-24 2025-02-02 100.0 100. 100.0 9
#> 2 2025-02-02 2025-01-25 2025-02-02 100.0 100. 100.0 8
#> 3 2025-02-03 2025-01-25 2025-02-03 100.0 100. 100.0 9
#> 4 2025-02-02 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 99.9 100. 100.0 7
#> 5 2025-02-03 2025-01-26 2025-02-03 100.0 100. 100.0 8
#> 6 2025-02-04 2025-01-26 2025-02-04 100.0 100. 100.0 9
#> 7 2025-02-02 2025-01-27 2025-02-02 99.8 100.0 100.0 6
#> 8 2025-02-03 2025-01-27 2025-02-03 99.9 100. 100.0 7
#> 9 2025-02-04 2025-01-27 2025-02-04 100.0 100. 100.0 8
#> 10 2025-02-05 2025-01-27 2025-02-05 100.0 100. 100.0 9
#> # ℹ 60 more rows
#> # ℹ 4 more variables: SAPE_pred <dbl>, SAPE_obs <dbl>, SAPE_improvement <dbl>,
#> # isWin <int>